Iran's GDP is projected to contract by 5.4 to 6.1% in 2026, its worst performance since 1988. Oil exports have collapsed from 2.12 million barrels per day before the war to roughly 65,000. Food prices have surged 115%. More than one million jobs have been lost. The naval blockade has severed what one analyst called "Iran's economic lifeline", and there is no realistic path to revival without sanctions relief Washington shows no sign of granting.